Bundesliga (Austria) results and our prediction record

We have published 1,143 Bundesliga predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 15 times out of 32, which is 47%; on the double chance it was right 123 times out of 190, which is 65%.

Every concluded Bundesliga match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Bundesliga

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 32 15 46.9%
Double chance 190 123 64.7%
Over or under 2.5 goals 194 102 52.6%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 28 21 75.0%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 68 46 67.6%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Bundesliga

Bundesliga matches in this archive average 2.83 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 54% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 52% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 41% of Bundesliga matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 39% of them, which tracks the competition closely. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Bundesliga best, at 65% from 190 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 47% from 32.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 28 calls of over 2.5 in Bundesliga also cleared 1.5 goals 75% of the time, and our 68 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 68% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Bundesliga match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,143, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Red Bull Salzburg v Sturm Graz 3:0 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
TSV Hartberg v Lask Linz 3:3 Away winat 1.28 Miss Draw or awayat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Ried v Wolfsberger AC 4:1 Drawat 3.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Grazer AK v Austria Vienna 2:2 Away winat 2.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Austria Lustenau v SCR Altach 2:0 Home winat 3.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.62 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Rapid Vienna v WSG Wattens 3:0 Home winat 1.38 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Sturm Graz v Lask Linz 2:1 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Austria Vienna v Austria Lustenau 2:1 Drawat 3.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
WSG Wattens v TSV Hartberg 2:2 Drawat 3.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Wolfsberger AC v Rapid Vienna 0:3 Away winat 1.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
SCR Altach v Grazer AK 1:2 Home winat 2.15 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Miss Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Ried v Red Bull Salzburg 1:1 Away winat 1.57 Miss Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Red Bull Salzburg v Rapid Vienna 5:1 Home winat 1.83 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Austria Vienna v WSG Wattens 0:1 Away winat 3.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Wolfsberger AC v Lask Linz 1:3 Away winat 1.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Red Bull Salzburg v Austria Vienna 4:1 Home winat 1.38 Hit Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
TSV Hartberg v Ried 3:2 Away winat 2.45 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Rapid Vienna v Sturm Graz 3:1 Home winat 2.15 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Lask Linz v SCR Altach 3:0 Home winat 1.44 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Grazer AK v Wolfsberger AC 0:0 Away winat 2.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Austria Lustenau v WSG Wattens 0:4 Home winat 2.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Sturm Graz v Austria Lustenau 1:1 Home winat 1.36 Miss Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
SCR Altach v TSV Hartberg 1:2 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Ried v Grazer AK 1:0 Home winat 2.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Rapid Vienna v Grazer AK 8:0 Home winat 1.73 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
WSG Wattens v Red Bull Salzburg 0:3 Away winat 1.44 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
TSV Hartberg v Austria Vienna 0:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.53 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Sturm Graz v SCR Altach 1:0 Home winat 1.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Austria Lustenau v Wolfsberger AC 2:1 Drawat 3.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Lask Linz v Ried 4:1 Home winat 1.55 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Austria Vienna v Lask Linz 0:2 Away winat 2.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Wolfsberger AC v Red Bull Salzburg 1:1 Away winat 1.85 Miss Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Ried v Rapid Vienna 1:2 Away winat 2.38 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
TSV Hartberg v Sturm Graz 0:2 Away winat 1.67 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Grazer AK v Austria Lustenau 2:1 Away winat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
SCR Altach v WSG Wattens 3:1 Home winat 2.15 Hit Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Rapid Vienna v SCR Altach 1:0 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Austria Lustenau v Ried 1:1 Drawat 3.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Wolfsberger AC v Austria Vienna 3:0 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Red Bull Salzburg v TSV Hartberg 1:0 Home winat 1.33 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss
WSG Wattens v Sturm Graz 1:1 Drawat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Lask Linz v Grazer AK 3:0 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Rapid Vienna v Ried 3:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Ried v Rapid Vienna 2:1 Home winat 2.35 Hit Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit
Ried v Wolfsberger AC 2:1 Home winat 2.25 Hit Home or drawat 1.34 Hit Over 2.5at 1.84 Hit Over 1.5at 1.26 Hit
Austria Vienna v Lask Linz 0:3 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Red Bull Salzburg v TSV Hartberg 1:3 Home winat 1.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.06 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Sturm Graz v Rapid Vienna 2:0 Drawat 3.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.83 Miss Under 2.5at 2.10 Hit Under 3.5at 1.44 Hit
FC BW Linz v Grazer AK 0:3 Drawat 3.40 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Miss Under 2.5at 1.75 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit
SCR Altach v Ried 2:0 Away winat 4.75 Miss Draw or awayat 2.00 Miss Under 2.5at 1.70 Hit Under 3.5at 1.25 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Bundesliga, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.