Bundesliga (Austria) results and our prediction record

We have published 1,149 Bundesliga predictions since September 2020, and every one of them has been graded against the final score.

Across those matches, on the match result it was right 32 times out of 88, which is 36%; on the double chance it was right 132 times out of 191, which is 69%.

Every concluded Bundesliga match we predicted is listed below, with the pick we made beforehand and what actually happened.

Our record in Bundesliga

Every prediction below was published before the match kicked off and graded afterwards against the final score. Losing markets are included, and the sample size sits beside every rate.

Market Predictions Correct Hit rate
Match result 88 32 36.4%
Double chance 191 132 69.1%
Over or under 2.5 goals 66 29 43.9%
Over 1.5 goals same call, safer line 64 53 82.8%
Under 3.5 goals same call, safer line 96 68 70.8%

The last two rows are not separate predictions. They are the same over or under call read at a line that is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. That is why each of them covers about half the matches, and why they land higher.

How the model reads Bundesliga

Bundesliga matches in this archive average 2.83 goals, against 2.69 across the 57 competitions we cover. 54% of them finish with three goals or more, and the model goes over 2.5 in 52% of the matches it calls.

The home side wins 41% of Bundesliga matches here and draws 26%. Our model picks the home side in 39% of them, which tracks the competition closely. Of the three markets we publish, double chance is where the model reads Bundesliga best, at 69% from 191 picks, and match result is where it reads it worst, at 36% from 88.

Read at a line that is easier to clear, the same goals call lands far more often: our 64 calls of over 2.5 in Bundesliga also cleared 1.5 goals 83% of the time, and our 96 calls of under 2.5 also stayed under 3.5 71% of the time. Those are not extra predictions. They are the one call counted against a softer question, which is why they sit roughly twenty points above the 2.5 line itself.

Every concluded Bundesliga match we predicted

The 50 most recent of 1,149, newest first.

Date Match Score Result call Double chance Goals call Safer line
Lask Linz v Rapid Vienna 0:2 Home winat 1.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.25 Miss Over 2.5at 1.44 Miss Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
SCR Altach v Wolfsberger AC 3:0 Home winat 2.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
TSV Hartberg v Austria Lustenau 4:3 Away winat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Miss Over 2.5at 1.80 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Austria Vienna v Sturm Graz 0:2 Away winat 2.10 Hit Draw or awayat 1.33 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Miss Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
WSG Wattens v Ried 1:2 Home winat 2.62 Miss Home or drawat 1.53 Miss Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Grazer AK v Red Bull Salzburg 0:0 Away winat 1.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.12 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss
Red Bull Salzburg v Sturm Graz 3:0 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.40 Hit Over 1.5at 1.11 Hit
TSV Hartberg v Lask Linz 3:3 Away winat 1.28 Miss Draw or awayat 1.06 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Ried v Wolfsberger AC 4:1 Drawat 3.80 Miss Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Grazer AK v Austria Vienna 2:2 Away winat 2.75 Miss Draw or awayat 1.50 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Austria Lustenau v SCR Altach 2:0 Home winat 3.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.62 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Rapid Vienna v WSG Wattens 3:0 Home winat 1.38 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.44 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Sturm Graz v Lask Linz 2:1 Away winat 2.20 Miss Draw or awayat 1.36 Miss Over 2.5at 1.53 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Austria Vienna v Austria Lustenau 2:1 Drawat 3.70 Miss Draw or awayat 1.91 Miss Under 2.5at 2.00 Miss Under 3.5at 1.36 Hit
WSG Wattens v TSV Hartberg 2:2 Drawat 3.50 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Wolfsberger AC v Rapid Vienna 0:3 Away winat 1.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.18 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
SCR Altach v Grazer AK 1:2 Home winat 2.15 Miss Home or drawat 1.33 Miss Over 2.5at 1.90 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Ried v Red Bull Salzburg 1:1 Away winat 1.57 Miss Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
Red Bull Salzburg v Rapid Vienna 5:1 Home winat 1.83 Hit Home or drawat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.48 Hit Over 1.5at 1.12 Hit
Austria Vienna v WSG Wattens 0:1 Away winat 3.70 Hit Draw or awayat 1.91 Hit Under 2.5at 2.00 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Wolfsberger AC v Lask Linz 1:3 Away winat 1.80 Hit Draw or awayat 1.22 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
Red Bull Salzburg v Austria Vienna 4:1 Home winat 1.38 Hit Home or drawat 1.11 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Hit Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
TSV Hartberg v Ried 3:2 Away winat 2.45 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Miss
Rapid Vienna v Sturm Graz 3:1 Home winat 2.15 Hit Home or drawat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Lask Linz v SCR Altach 3:0 Home winat 1.44 Hit Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Hit Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Grazer AK v Wolfsberger AC 0:0 Away winat 2.30 Miss Draw or awayat 1.40 Hit Over 2.5at 1.73 Miss Over 1.5at 1.22 Miss
Austria Lustenau v WSG Wattens 0:4 Home winat 2.25 Miss Home or drawat 1.40 Miss Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.20 Hit
Sturm Graz v Austria Lustenau 1:1 Home winat 1.36 Miss Home or drawat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.50 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Hit
SCR Altach v TSV Hartberg 1:2 Home winat 1.85 Miss Home or drawat 1.20 Miss Under 2.5at 1.95 Miss Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Ried v Grazer AK 1:0 Home winat 2.00 Hit Home or drawat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Miss Over 1.5at 1.28 Miss
Rapid Vienna v Grazer AK 8:0 Home winat 1.73 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
WSG Wattens v Red Bull Salzburg 0:3 Away winat 1.44 Hit Draw or awayat 1.10 Hit Over 2.5at 1.57 Hit Over 1.5at 1.17 Hit
TSV Hartberg v Austria Vienna 0:2 Drawat 3.30 Miss Home or drawat 1.53 Miss Under 2.5at 1.80 Hit Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Sturm Graz v SCR Altach 1:0 Home winat 1.70 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Miss
Austria Lustenau v Wolfsberger AC 2:1 Drawat 3.50 Miss Home or drawat 1.80 Hit Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
Lask Linz v Ried 4:1 Home winat 1.55 Hit Home or drawat 1.14 Hit Over 2.5at 1.70 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Austria Vienna v Lask Linz 0:2 Away winat 2.00 Hit Draw or awayat 1.28 Hit Over 2.5at 1.85 Miss Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Wolfsberger AC v Red Bull Salzburg 1:1 Away winat 1.85 Miss Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Over 2.5at 1.62 Miss Over 1.5at 1.18 Hit
Ried v Rapid Vienna 1:2 Away winat 2.38 Hit Draw or awayat 1.36 Hit Over 2.5at 2.00 Hit Over 1.5at 1.30 Hit
TSV Hartberg v Sturm Graz 0:2 Away winat 1.67 Hit Draw or awayat 1.17 Hit Under 2.5at 2.08 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Grazer AK v Austria Lustenau 2:1 Away winat 3.50 Miss Draw or awayat 1.73 Miss Over 2.5at 1.95 Hit Over 1.5at 1.28 Hit
SCR Altach v WSG Wattens 3:1 Home winat 2.15 Hit Home or drawat 1.30 Hit Under 2.5at 1.67 Miss Under 3.5at 1.25 Miss
Rapid Vienna v SCR Altach 1:0 Home winat 1.80 Hit Home or drawat 1.20 Hit Under 2.5at 1.90 Hit Under 3.5at 1.33 Hit
Austria Lustenau v Ried 1:1 Drawat 3.25 Hit Draw or awayat 1.44 Hit Over 2.5at 2.05 Miss Over 1.5at 1.33 Hit
Wolfsberger AC v Austria Vienna 3:0 Away winat 3.00 Miss Draw or awayat 1.57 Miss Over 2.5at 1.85 Hit Over 1.5at 1.25 Hit
Red Bull Salzburg v TSV Hartberg 1:0 Home winat 1.33 Hit Home or drawat 1.07 Hit Over 2.5at 1.53 Miss Over 1.5at 1.14 Miss
WSG Wattens v Sturm Graz 1:1 Drawat 3.50 Hit Draw or awayat 1.25 Hit Under 2.5at 2.05 Hit Under 3.5at 1.40 Hit
Lask Linz v Grazer AK 3:0 Home winat 1.62 Hit Home or drawat 1.17 Hit Over 2.5at 1.75 Hit Over 1.5at 1.22 Hit
Rapid Vienna v Ried 3:0 Drawat 3.40 Miss Draw or awayat 1.70 Miss Under 2.5at 1.85 Miss Under 3.5at 1.30 Hit
Ried v Rapid Vienna 2:1 Home winat 2.35 Hit Home or drawat 1.40 Hit Under 2.5at 1.80 Miss Under 3.5at 1.28 Hit

Double chance backs two of the three results, the two our model rated most likely, so it lands more often than the result call and pays less. The safer line is the same goals call read where it is easier to clear: a call of over 2.5 goals also clears 1.5, and a call of under 2.5 also stays under 3.5. Each price is the one quoted when we published the call.

Where the predictions for upcoming matches are

This page only shows matches that have finished, and how our call on each one turned out. The predictions we publish before kickoff, including Bundesliga, go out every day in the Soccer Predictions app.